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Grammy Nominations ’11: Thoughts & Predictions

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My prediction for last night’s unveiling of the latest batch of Grammy nominations was a really risky one — Adele. Please note the sarcasm. I was halfway thinking they should just cancel the Grammys this year and give all of them to Adele.

Win for her and win for me — I wouldn’t have to sit through it again.

Alas, that’s not going to happen. The Grammys are like the seventh highest-rated award show, you can’t just go and cancel that. That’s a guess, btw, it could very well be the 10th highest-rated award show. How many does MTV have these days?

So we might as well talk about the Grammy noms. Aside from Adele, the major fields seem especially hipster this year — with Bon Iver and Mumford & Sons both scoring nods in the record of the year and song of the year. I figure the Grammy enjoyed the big “WHOOOOO?!?” it got in response to The Arcade Fire winning best album last year and just wanted to do it all over again, knowing full well this is the year of Adele. No knock on Bon Iver or Mumford & Sons — but let’s be real, your mom has no idea who they are. Unless your mom is a hipster, in which case, props to her.

A few more thoughts before we get to the predictions:

  • I’m stumped that Kanye West didn’t get a best album nod. “My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy” — while not my favorite album of his — was his most Grammy-ready. (See: OutKast, “ATLiens” vs. “Speakerboxxx/The Love Below”). After Adele dropped “21,” I knew the award was hers, but Kanye at least deserved a nomination. Rihanna? C’mon, I didn’t even know she released albums. I thought it was just a new annoying single every month.
  • Bon Iver is a new artist? OK, sure, I guess by the Grammy’s definition of “new.” I’m happy to see J. Cole get a nod. I’d be happier if I knew he had a chance. If they go hip-hop, that means the ever-annoying Nicki Minaj would win. Sooooo, go Bon Iver! Or The Band Perry. In a perfect world, I’d give it somebody like Young the Giant or Foster the People (who it was nice to see get a couple nominations)
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  • Best new artist sidenote: Pretty cool to see a DJ such as Skrillex get a nomination — though I’m fairly certain that’s just a sign of the times and he won’t win.
  • I’m surprised that that Adele didn’t double up in either song of the year or record of the year. “Someone Like You” seemed like a likely candidate for either, as well as “Rolling in the Deep.”
  • After a few years of country getting a lot of love in the major categories, it’s almost a void this year, save for The Band Perry’s best new artist nom. Me thinks Taylor Swift will be back soon enough, though.


PREDICTIONS
Knee-jerk picks. I reserve the right to change my mind before February.

Album of the Year
Adele, “21″
The Foo Fighters, “Wasting Light”
Lady Gaga, “Born This Way”
Bruno Mars, “Doo-Wops and Hooligans”
Rihanna, “Loud”

Record of the Year
Adele, “Rolling in the Deep”
Bon Iver, “Holocene”
Bruno Mars, “Grenade”
Mumford & Sons, “The Cave”
Katy Perry, “Firework”

Song of the Year
Kanye West, “All of the Lights”
Mumford & Sons, “The Cave”
Bruno Mars, “Grenade”
Bon Iver, “Holocene”
Adele, “Rolling in the Deep”

Best New Artist
The Band Perry
Bon Iver
J. Cole
Nicki Minaj
Skrillex

Best Pop Solo Performance
“Someone Like You”– Adele
“Yoü And I”– Lady Gaga
“Grenade”– Bruno Mars
“Firework”– Katy Perry
“F***in’ Perfect”– Pink

Best Pop Duo/Group Performance:
“Body And Soul”– Tony Bennett & Amy Winehouse
“Dearest”– The Black Keys
“Paradise”– Coldplay
“Pumped Up Kicks”– Foster The People
“Moves Like Jagger”– Maroon 5 & Christina Aguilera

Best Rock Performance
“Every Teardrop Is A Waterfall”– Coldplay
“Down By The Water”– The Decemberists
“Walk”– Foo Fighters
“The Cave”– Mumford & Sons
“Lotus Flower”– Radiohead

Best Rock Album
Rock ‘N’ Roll Party Honoring Les Paul– Jeff Beck
Wasting Light– Foo Fighters
Come Around Sundown– Kings Of Leon
I’m With You– Red Hot Chili Peppers
The Whole Love– Wilco

Best Alternative Music Album
Bon Iver– Bon Iver
Codes And Keys– Death Cab For Cutie
Torches– Foster The People
Circuital– My Morning Jacket
The King Of Limbs– Radiohead

Best R&B Album
F.A.M.E.– Chris Brown
Second Chance– El DeBarge
Love Letter– R. Kelly
Pieces Of Me– Ledisi
Kelly– Kelly Price

Best Rap/Sung Collaboration
“Party”– Beyoncé & André 3000
“I’m On One”– DJ Khaled, Drake, Rick Ross & Lil Wayne
“I Need A Doctor”– Dr. Dre, Eminem & Skylar Grey
“What’s My Name?”– Rihanna & Drake
“Motivation”– Kelly Rowland & Lil Wayne
“All Of The Lights”– Kanye West, Rihanna, Kid Cudi & Fergie

Best Rap Album
Watch The Throne – Jay-Z & Kanye West
Tha Carter IV – Lil Wayne
Lasers – Lupe Fiasco
Pink Friday – Nicki Minaj
My Beautiful Dark Twisted Fantasy – Kanye West

Best Country Album
My Kinda Party – Jason Aldean
Chief – Eric Church
Own The Night – Lady Antebellum
Red River Blue – Blake Shelton
Here For A Good Time – George Strait
Speak Now – Taylor Swift

Best Country Song
“Are You Gonna Kiss Me Or Not”– Jim Collins & David Lee Murphy, songwriters (Thompson Square)
“God Gave Me You”– Dave Barnes, songwriter (Blake Shelton)
“Just Fishin’”– Casey Beathard, Monty Criswell & Ed Hill, songwriters (Trace Adkins)
“Mean”– Taylor Swift, songwriter (Taylor Swift)
“Threaten Me With Heaven”– Vince Gill, Amy Grant, Will Owsley & Dillon O’Brian, songwriters (Vince Gill)
“You And Tequila”– Matraca Berg & Deana Carter, songwriters (Kenny Chesney Featuring Grace Potter)

Best Folk Album
Barton Hollow– The Civil Wars
I’ll Never Get Out Of This World Alive– Steve Earle
Helplessness Blues– Fleet Foxes
Ukulele Songs– Eddie Vedder
The Harrow & The Harvest– Gillian Welch

You can see the entire list of nominees here.

Responses to "Grammy Nominations ’11: Thoughts & Predictions"

Linda says:

Another year another lame music awards show/list.

The Grammy’s haven’t been relevant for, well, evurrr. Ever. Get it yet?

No one cares, but people employed in this business. And I mean the Grammy’s and the media. The artists don’t care…

….Unless youre like, Taylor Swift. In that case you win every award on the planet and still no one cares.